Samvit 2011 - The Annual Leadership Summit of IIM Lucknow was held on December 3, 2011. Samvit 2011 witnessed the congregation of some of India’s most brilliant and potent minds who ideated on “The Sinking World Economy and its Implications for Indian businesses”. The focus was on how India should face the stormy headwinds seeking to derail the progress of its fledgling industries and emerge stronger and surer of her place as one of the vanguards of global economy. This year’s panel consisted of corporate leaders and banking-stalwarts. The eminent speakers included Mr. Aditya Puri, MD HDFC Bank, Mr. KR Kamath, CMD Punjab National Bank, Mr. Roopen Roy, MD, Deloitte Consulting, India, Mr. Srinivasan Iyengar, MD-Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank, Mr. Dharmakirti Joshi, Chief Economist, CRISIL, Mr. Naresh Kothari, President & Co-Head, Edelweiss Financial Services and Mr. Sonjoy Mohanty, CEO, Educomp Supplemental Business. Mr. Sharat Pradhan, eminent journalist, donned the role of Master of Ceremonies.
Leader's Panel at SAMVIT 2011Opening the round of discussions, Mr Aditya Puri set the tone for the evening with the idea that Indian economy has a bright future. He spoke about the Indian economy being structurally resilient with sound banking fundamentals. He added that India’s economic model is quite different from that of the US and most of the European countries. Further, he expressed optimism for India’s future saying that there will not be a huge impact of current global crisis on India and that 7% growth in GDP is still magnificent. He expressed confidence in the Indian banks and commented that they are safe and secure to run. However, he was circumspect about the surge in commodity prices and proffered that this trend can lead to a drop in growth rate to below 8%. Elaborating on the issue Mr Puri quipped “This is not the only for problem for us, government needs to take supply side measures for a sustainable growth rate in the long term.”
Taking the cue from Mr Puri, Mr. Kamath enlightened the audience with several anecdotes and explained that Indian banks had the capabilities to handle the growing non-performing assets (NPAs) which comprise only a small percentage of the bank’s total portfolio. He laid stress on protecting the weakest links of the economy such as the consumer, Non-Banking Financial Corporations (NBFCs) etc. However he too expressed optimism for the long term growth of the country and stressed on reaping the strong demographic dividends and intellectual property that is inherent to India. He explained that a lot of pessimism has been created about India’s future by the media and philosophically predicted that “The only way ahead is to prepare for challenges and be patient”.
Mr. Roopen Roy presented an optimistic view to the discussion with the idea that we as a country are more global than we think. Taking cue from Edward Lorenz’s famous Chaos theory and the butterfly effect, Mr. Roy explained how a small disturbance in a place like Lucknow can result into a tornado in Los Angeles. Justifying his stance, Mr Roy said “We should not ignore the small things that happen globally.” Further, he mentioned that looking at the economy only from the GDP and stakeholders’ perspective narrows down the vision. To broaden our view, we should include the needs of the people in rural areas. A more realistic view on our economy is the need of the hour, appreciating what is good but at the same time keeping our eyes open for the impending challenges. On the global crisis, Mr. Roy said that Europe is likely to witness supervised fiscal union with poor countries being brought under the surveillance of European Union, especially Germany.
Mr. Dharmakirti Joshi painted a grim scenario of the future ahead and warned the students of painful times ahead as he suggested that the internal and external firepower to make the necessary changes in policy and governance is missing. He remarked “It will be difficult for us to offset any future downturn without a fiscal muscle power. In 2008, India managed to escape the global crisis mainly because of the policy measures that had already been embedded in the economy such as the increase in the public sector wages, farm loan waiver and NREGA.” He also talked about the growing interaction of Indian industries with the world in that currently around 25% of the revenues for top 50 corporations in India come from outside the country. He also mentioned how economic cycles of India and western countries are synchronised. He said “Even though the long term growth trajectory may be different from the OECD countries but in short term a downturn in western countries leads to a downturn in India.”
Mr Iyenger described the Indian economy as interdependent and said that we should have the resolve to turn around the situation considering what we have done it in the past. He compared the Indian economy with a swarm of bees indicating that the directionality towards growth of India is clear and we are marching ahead but the pace of this growth is in question. He also talked about doing things right and doing the right things. Stressing that the solution to the present scenario is well within our hands, Mr. Iyenger quipped “we are well positioned to take the advantage of the opportunities that shift of power from west to east will bring.” He concluded with the point that there is supporting infrastructure to foster reverse brain drain in the country and that sinking world economy is a big opportunity for us.
Mr Kothari sounded a word of caution “Although Indian economy is insulated at its core with a domestic consumption of close to 70% of GDP and low dependence on the global debt. He felt that India can grow at 6-7% on its own but to grow beyond 8-9%, it has to depend on its global trading partners to perform well.” He explained further “This is mainly because Indian is well integrated in the global economy.” He expressed disappointment that lately there has not been much policy making but only policy tinkering.
Mr Mohanty, an alumnus of the first batch of IIM Lucknow, explained how things have changed over the years. He famously remarked that “We looked to the west for everything but now the west looks to the east. India brings unparalleled innovation to the world.” He urged the youth to be more entrepreneurial in their endeavours. Talking about our adaptability and using the vast reserves of knowledge that we have, Mr. Mohanty said sinking world provides a lot opportunities for the country.
In its 4th edition, Samvit 2011 lived up to its reputation as the Annual Leadership Summit of IIM Lucknow. The excited student crowd, mingled freely with the leaders in the informal high tea session, which marked the closure of the event. Speaking jubilantly and reminiscing about his favourite moment of the summit, Vamshidar Bandi, a 2nd year student of IIM Lucknow said “It was an eye opener of sorts for me. Mr. Aditya Puri’s and Mr Kamath’s age old adages make a B-school student wonder what exactly he should be aiming for in his life?” His dreamy smiles however suggested that he had actually found his answer.